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2018-2022 Tanker Market Outlook

1800 USD

Navigate the most challenging market cycles with confidence. 

McQuilling Services 2018-2022 Tanker Market Outlook represents our 21st forecasting cycle since we began forecasting tanker freight rates. 

Our approach to forecasting is based on the development of models that combine analytical processes with practical market assessments.  Over time, this approach has been found to be reasonably predictive of future spot market freight levels in the various tanker sectors. 

With each publication of our annual outlook, we continue to incorporate enhancements to our forecasts.  This year is no exception, and some enhancements in research, methodology and presentation will be included in the 2018-2022 Tanker Market Outlook. 


We have incorporated a new section into this edition of the Tanker Market Outlook.  The Tanker Market Technicals section provides analysis on tanker demand and supply fundamentals utilizing our remotely-sensed vessel positions metrics, which allows us to provide a more granular view of vessel utilization statistics. 

We have carried over our Long-Term Vessel Delivery Forecast Methodology, previously introduced in the August 2017 Mid-Year Update.  This new methodology gives us a more efficient long-term outlook on fleet evolution in concert with the cyclical nature of the market.

The latest edition of this annual report will contain four new spot trade forecasts as well as TCE expectations for two new triangulated routes. The spot trades are as follows: Arabian Gulf > Mediterranean (Suezmax); Arabian Gulf > Northern Europe (LR2); Mediterranean > Japan (LR2); South Korea > Singapore (LR1) plus two triangulated routes for the LR2 and LR1 sectors. 


Global Outlook Themes
Oil Supply and Demand Outlook
Tanker Tonnage Demand and Supply
Tanker Market Technicals
2017 Market Performance
Bunker Price Development
Freight Market Outlook
Asset Market Outlook
Analytical Appendix
Over 200 Figures/Tables