This snapshot provides an overview of the shuttle tanker market from January 2015 to May 2017. Due to the dense offshore oil fields and offshore floating tankers, EC South America and Northern Europe are the two major deployment regions for the shuttle tanker fleet. We have counted a total of 398 FPSO/FSO calls in EC South America and another 66 calls in Northern Europe through May 2017. The average age of the fleet stands at 10 years; the oldest tanker is the 1995-built Ifrikia Iii, owned by Teekay Navion.
Recent strength in European product demand, coupled with higher outflows to the West, has boosted product margins and incentivized refiners to increase runs. We expect European crude demand to remain strong in the summer months, which will likely be filled by rising crude supply in the Mediterranean, Black Sea and West Africa. Higher volumes along these trade routes are projected to support Suezmax and Aframax tanker freight rates in the coming months.
This industry note provides an overview of VLCC market activity for the first quarter of 2017 including vessel supply developments as well as McQuilling Services' short-term views for the second quarter of the year.
In the financial markets, investor sentiment for stocks can be measured using PE (Price/Earnings) multiples. We believe this statistic to be an applicable tool for pricing physical tanker assets, while in parallel, revealing underlying market confidence levels. In this note, we discuss our methodology to harmonize the PE formula to tanker assets and project the range which VLCC tankers are likely to trade in over the medium term.